Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.036426 0.039646 0.042886 0.046384 0.050048 0.053767 0.057820
2025-11-23 0.032261 0.037115 0.042153 0.047750 0.053771 0.060032 0.067015
2025-11-30 0.028932 0.034996 0.041467 0.048833 0.056934 0.065524 0.075273
2025-12-07 0.026024 0.032990 0.040615 0.049485 0.059426 0.070142 0.082484
2025-12-14 0.023327 0.030944 0.039486 0.049621 0.061177 0.073813 0.088551
2025-12-21 0.021675 0.029928 0.039377 0.050781 0.063967 0.078557 0.095743
2025-12-28 0.019171 0.027698 0.037692 0.049975 0.064393 0.080540 0.099759
2026-01-04 0.017530 0.026381 0.036971 0.050194 0.065914 0.083698 0.105044
2026-01-11 0.016327 0.025513 0.036711 0.050889 0.067932 0.087382 0.110896
2026-01-18 0.015210 0.024667 0.036409 0.051476 0.069776 0.090830 0.116451
2026-01-25 0.013173 0.022479 0.034320 0.049783 0.068816 0.090940 0.118088
2026-02-01 0.011875 0.021188 0.033292 0.049333 0.069297 0.092696 0.121602
2026-02-08 0.010726 0.020050 0.032435 0.049092 0.070049 0.094813 0.125601
2026-02-15 0.010297 0.019907 0.032869 0.050483 0.072809 0.099337 0.132461
2026-02-22 0.009798 0.019625 0.033095 0.051592 0.075214 0.103438 0.138831
2026-03-01 0.009184 0.019127 0.032998 0.052260 0.077057 0.106853 0.144388
2026-03-08 0.008441 0.018380 0.032519 0.052398 0.078210 0.109420 0.148922
2026-03-15 0.008097 0.018229 0.032851 0.053595 0.080697 0.113611 0.155411
2026-03-22 0.007158 0.017056 0.031692 0.052762 0.080566 0.114573 0.157994
2026-03-29 0.006604 0.016470 0.031340 0.052988 0.081774 0.117169 0.162543
2026-04-05 0.006229 0.016156 0.031360 0.053706 0.083605 0.120530 0.168018
2026-04-12 0.005849 0.015805 0.031309 0.054312 0.085283 0.123696 0.173258
2026-04-19 0.004917 0.014382 0.029594 0.052563 0.083843 0.122942 0.173681